Why Has Housing Supply Increased as Sales Have Slowed Down? ๐Ÿ˜๏ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿก

According to the latest Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the inventory of homes for sale this year compared to last year has increased for the last four months, all while sales of existing homes have slowed compared to last yearโ€™s numbers.

For over three years leading up to this point, the exact opposite was true; Inventory dropped as sales soared.

NARโ€™s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun shed some light on what could be contributing to this shift,

โ€œThis is the lowest existing home sales level since November 2015. A decadeโ€™s high mortgage rates are preventing consumers from making quick decisions on home purchases. All the while, affordable home listings remain low, continuing to spur underperforming sales activity across the country.โ€

Letโ€™s take a deeper look:

Interest Rates

Since January, 30-year fixed mortgage interest rates have increased nearly a full percentage point (from 3.95% to 4.9%). Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the National Association of Realtors, and the Mortgage Bankers Association are all in agreement that rates will continue to increase to about 5.2% over the next 12 months.

โ€œThe rise in [mortgage] rates paired with this very strong price appreciation absolutely is slowing housing,โ€ said Fannie Maeโ€™s Chief Economist Doug Duncan.

Even though rates are higher than theyโ€™ve been in a decade, they still remain below the average for the 1970s, 80s, 90s, and 2000s!

Mismatch of Inventory

Elizabeth Mendenhall, President of NAR, said it best, โ€œDespite small month over month increases, the share of first-time buyers in the market continues to underwhelm because there are simply not enough listings in their price range.โ€

Prices of starter and trade-up homes have appreciated faster than their higher-priced counterparts. Over the last 5 years, the lowest-priced homes have appreciated by 47% while the highest-priced homes have appreciated by only 24%.

According to the Institute of Luxury Home Marketโ€™s Luxury Market Report, the $1M-and-up price range is now experiencing a buyerโ€™s market. This means that supply (inventory) has finally caught up with demand and buyers are in the driverโ€™s seat when it comes to negotiations. Additionally, many listings in this price range have experienced price cuts in order to entice buyers to put in offers.

Natural Disasters

Although not fully to blame for the national shortage in sales and inventory, natural disasters like Hurricane Florence, Hurricane Michael, and the wildfires on the West Coast have certainly had an impact.

Bottom Line

Additional inventory coming to market could help normalize the housing market and allow incomes to catch up to home prices. For more information about sales and inventory in your area, contact us and we can help you make the best decision for you and your family.

 

Ady Simion Call/Text at (626) 607-8652 or email me at Ady@AdySimion.com

Click hereโ€ฆto check your home value in seconds!

Click hereโ€ฆto search great deals, foreclosures and short sales in your area.

 

About Ady Simion (Realtor and Public Notary)

Ady Simion was named in the Top 1% of all agents for NRT LLC a subsidiary of Realogy that operates a variety of real estate offices under brands such as Coldwell Banker, Sotheby's International Realty, Century 21, The Corcoran Group, and the technology-based brokerages ZipRealty and Climb Real Estate. NRT has 787 offices and 47,000 sales associates. Selling and buying property can be very stressful but with the right agent it can be profitable and a fun experience. Ady is also a Notary Public and being a people person he wants to help negotiate for his clients making their transactions as smooth as possible. Adyโ€™s goals are simple: He wants to be the best source of information on the Los Angeles area Real Estate market, as he assists clients through each transaction with care and professionalism. He is proud of his large referral base of clients who have placed their trust in him over the years. Why him, when there are so many good people out there?!?! โ€ข Sellers will have their property exposed to the largest team of sales professionals in the world by far. Coldwell Banker Agents sale more homes than anyone else. โ€ข Buyers will have the opportunity to view more properties exclusively. โ€ข And most importantly when you hire him you get a whole team working for you not just โ€œonly one personโ€. Ady Simion started his Professional Career as an Insurance Agent, and then mastered the Mortgage Industry focusing on helping buyers and sellers achieve their life dreams. He now is an Agent with the Largest Residential Real Estate Company in the nation and the world, Coldwell Banker, at the Pasadena office which is the leader in the areas in which he specializes. After finishing College Ady has consistently been a Top Producer in every office/business he worked at. He speaks English, Romanian and Spanish. Real Estate is constantly changing and working with an agent that has been involved in the Real Estate buying/selling process most of his life is always beneficial for clients. Call, text or e-mail him or just stop by to say Hi and ask any real estate questions you may have.

Posted on November 15, 2018, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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